In-person early voting has ended

by | Nov 2, 2014 | 2014 Elections, Bitzer, Features | 3 comments

Originally published at Old North State Politics.
We have the final totals for the vast majority of early votes coming in for North Carolina’s general election; a small number of mail-in ballots will continue to trickle in, but the numbers point to a substantial turnout by North Carolina voters through the early voting period.

Of all ballots requested:

Overall, using both the mail-in requests (including those ballots that have been requested and those returned and accepted so far) and the in-person early voting method, North Carolina has the potential of seeing 1,192,190 votes cast before Tuesday’s election.

Of all ballots accepted as votes:

Out of this 1.19 million votes cast, 1,155,131 ballots (both by mail-in and in-person) have been accepted as votes for Tuesday’s election counting, with the following breakdowns by the different methods of balloting:

Among these accepted mail-in and in-person ballots:

  • registered Democrats are 47.6 percent
  • registered Republicans are 31.9 percent
  • registered Unaffiliated voters are 20.3 percent
  • Women are 54.2 percent
  • White voters are 71.6 percent
  • Black voters are 25.0 percent

Of all accepted ballots that were cast in-person:

Out of the accepted ballots that were cast in-person by North Carolinians, 1,097,560 have been recorded for votes on Tuesday.  This represents 121 percent of the 2010 numbers on the last day of early in-person voting in 2010.  The cumulative totals for these accepted in-person early votes are:

  • registered Democratic voters cast 48.5 percent of the in-person accepted ballots, for a total of 532,026 ballots, representing 125 percent of the final day Democratic totals in 2010
  • registered Republican voters cast 31.1 percent of the in-person accepted ballots, for a total of 341,523 ballots, representing 105 percent of the final day Republican totals in 2010
  • registered Unaffiliated & Libertarian voters cast 20.4 percent of the in-person accepted ballots, for a total of 224,011 ballots, representing 145 percent of the final day unaffiliated/Libertarian totals in 2010.
  • Female voters ended up casting 54.1 percent of the in-person accepted ballots
  • White voters are 70.8 percent of the total in-person accepted ballots
  • Black voters are 25.8 percent of the total in-person accepted ballots
Saturday’s daily total of 103,128 for accepted in-person ballots was:
  • registered Democrats: 48.5 percent
  • registered Republicans: 30.4 percent
  • registered Unaffiliated/Libertarians: 21 percent
  • Women: 53.5 percent
  • White voters: 65.4 percent
  • Black voters: 29.9 percent
The trend line in comparing the daily cumulative totals of in-person accepted ballots against the numbers in 2010, as measured by the days out from the election, show the sizable performance of registered Democrats and registered Unaffiliated voters over their numbers from four years ago:
Finally, the voters who have participated in this year’s in-person early voting and comparing their voting behavior in 2010’s mid-term election shows a significant number of registered Unaffiliated and Democratic voters showing up who didn’t cast ballots four years ago:

Additional Analysis (as of 2 PM):

In looking at the voters who were registered to vote in 2010 but didn’t vote in the mid-term four years ago, but did show up to cast an early ballot this year, we see some interesting numbers that could give us a clue on the ground game and interest level among the different groups of voters.
Among these 75,616 voters who cast 2014 in-person early ballots and were registered to vote in 2010 but didn’t vote in 2010:
  • 40,986 are registered Democrats, representing 54 percent of these voters
  • 17,892 are registered Republicans, representing 24 percent of these voters
  • 16,597 are registered Unaffiliated voters, representing 22 percent of these voters
Among each party registration in terms of race:
Among registered Democrats who cast 2014 in-person early ballots and were registered in 2010 but didn’t vote in that year’s mid-term election, 54 percent are black voters, with 42 percent white.  Among registered unaffiliated voters, 77 percent are white, while 14 percent are black voters.

Additional Analysis (as of 5 PM):

Among the 2014 NC in-person early voters who were registered in 2010 but didn’t vote that year, fifty percent of these voters were in twelve counties (in order of the largest number of total voters): Mecklenburg, Wake, Guilford, Cumberland, Forsyth, Buncombe, Gaston, Durham, Union, Iredell, Pitt, and Catawba counties.

For registered Democrats, half of their 40K votes came from Mecklenburg, Wake, Guilford, Cumberland, Forsyth, Durham, Buncombe, Gaston, Pitt, Union, Wayne, and Orange counties.

For registered Republicans, half of their nearly 18K votes came from Mecklenburg, Wake, Guilford, Union, Gaston, Iredell, Randolph, Buncombe, Catawba, Forsyth, Cumberland, Davidson and Wayne counties.

For registered unaffiliated voters, half of their 16K votes came from Mecklenburg, Wake, Guilford, Buncombe, Forsyth, Cumberland, Union, Durham, Gaston, Orange and Iredell counties.

For all the NC Counties, here are their numbers of 2014 in-person early voters who were registered in 2010 but did not vote in 2010:

DEM LIB REP UNA TOTAL
MECKLENBURG 5481 15 1558 1952 9006
WAKE 3591 22 1250 1912 6775
GUILFORD 2806 11 910 815 4542
CUMBERLAND 1679 2 434 485 2600
FORSYTH 1551 3 520 496 2570
BUNCOMBE 1109 6 530 704 2349
GASTON 1002 4 690 412 2108
DURHAM 1482 4 161 421 2068
UNION 704 0 702 463 1869
IREDELL 633 0 578 378 1589
PITT 868 1 335 265 1469
CATAWBA 485 3 521 329 1338
WAYNE 691 1 388 184 1264
NEW HANOVER 603 4 293 357 1257
ALAMANCE 608 3 321 244 1176
RANDOLPH 381 2 558 228 1169
ORANGE 643 7 117 384 1151
CRAVEN 562 3 254 218 1037
NASH 517 1 310 173 1001
CABARRUS 452 1 305 226 984
ONSLOW 398 0 326 240 964
ROCKINGHAM 543 0 245 167 955
JOHNSTON 400 3 295 248 946
DAVIDSON 325 1 390 185 901
BURKE 422 1 232 220 875
ROWAN 367 0 301 182 850
CLEVELAND 529 0 165 112 806
HENDERSON 237 2 242 261 742
BRUNSWICK 280 1 197 209 687
ROBESON 506 1 44 79 630
MOORE 262 2 209 145 618
CALDWELL 208 1 277 126 612
RUTHERFORD 301 0 198 103 602
FRANKLIN 362 1 122 114 599
LENOIR 391 1 106 96 594
CARTERET 226 0 203 164 593
SCOTLAND 399 0 64 128 591
LEE 353 0 140 97 590
CHATHAM 301 0 102 179 582
GRANVILL 392 0 78 108 578
HARNETT 336 1 148 91 576
EDGECOMB 485 0 43 41 569
SURRY 242 1 216 98 557
LINCOLN 217 1 196 113 527
WILSON 354 0 114 59 527
BEAUFORT 319 2 110 91 522
HALIFAX 376 1 32 79 488
VANCE 348 1 63 62 474
SAMPSON 283 1 103 67 454
STANLY 189 2 155 106 452
HOKE 292 2 44 79 417
PERSON 242 1 79 91 413
RICHMOND 275 0 62 73 410
PASQUOTANK 212 1 56 79 348
PENDER 175 3 83 81 342
HAYWOOD 182 1 56 85 324
TRANSYLVANIA 129 1 67 102 299
WILKES 88 0 144 65 297
COLUMBUS 214 0 36 42 292
ALEXANDER 112 1 114 64 291
DARE 117 1 71 80 269
STOKES 114 1 88 51 254
WATAUGA 90 3 49 97 239
MCDOWELL 77 1 93 60 231
DAVIE 66 0 97 60 223
WARREN 185 0 12 21 218
MACON 71 0 59 68 198
BLADEN 129 0 25 36 190
JACKSON 102 0 39 44 185
BERTIE 146 0 12 23 181
PAMLICO 106 0 37 36 179
ANSON 151 0 10 14 175
DUPLIN 118 0 36 18 172
MARTIN 119 0 21 27 167
MADISON 85 1 36 40 162
CASWELL 118 1 18 23 160
ASHE 47 0 52 41 140
POLK 37 0 44 58 139
SWAIN 72 1 30 34 137
GREENE 85 0 14 32 131
YANCEY 55 1 42 30 128
CHEROKEE 34 0 56 30 120
ALLEGHANY 63 1 29 25 118
MITCHELL 19 0 64 34 117
MONTGOMERY 68 0 19 25 112
WASHINGTON 92 0 9 11 112
CHOWAN 65 0 26 16 107
NORTHAMPTON 89 0 6 8 103
YADKIN 27 0 54 19 100
HERTFORD 64 0 7 18 89
PERQUIMAS 49 0 15 14 78
CAMDEN 31 0 20 24 75
CURRITUCK 24 0 19 27 70
CLAY 22 1 14 27 64
GRAHAM 19 0 21 17 57
AVERY 7 1 33 14 55
JONES 27 0 20 8 55
GATES 43 0 2 7 52
TYRRELL 20 0 1 3 24
HYDE 13 1 0 0 14

3 Comments

  1. 4Corners

    Problem is, as badly as the state is gerrymandered, even though Dem turnout may dwarf Republican turnout, it’s still gonna be hard to shift the balance.

  2. lily

    The BBQ is not over yet, but it certainly appears that the GOP picked the wrong person,(the face of the republican legislature) as a banner carrier. Nobody really cares for some of the nonsense these folks have been up to in the past two years.

  3. Someone from Main Street NC

    Looks like policies of NCGOP have inspired the voters of North Carolina to head to the polls…

Related Posts

GET UPDATES

Get the latest posts from PoliticsNC delivered right to your inbox!

You have Successfully Subscribed!