Comparing Burr and Trump

by | Dec 2, 2016 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features

Because the last map post was well-received, I decided to create another one, this time comparing the margins of victory of Donald Trump with those of Richard Burr in his successful Senate reelection.

Counties in DARK RED are where Trump’s margin was 5% or greater than Burr’s margin (indicating a large number of Trump/Ross voters).

Counties in LIGHT RED are where Trump’s margin was larger than Burr’s margin, but with a difference of less than 5%.

Counties in LIGHT BLUE are where Burr’s margin was larger than Trump’s margin, but with a difference of less than 5%.

Counties in DARK BLUE are where Burr’s margin was 5% or greater than Trump’s margin (indicating a large number of Clinton/Burr voters).

Unlike the first map, I have little to say about this one because I really don’t know what’s going on. There were unsurprisingly a fair number of Clinton/Burr voters in Charlotte, the Research Triangle, and Forsyth County (Burr’s home county). Burr’s campaign made a concerted effort to win over suburban voters who were dismayed about Trump but still open to backing a Republican for Senate, and it looks like that effort paid off.

But the amount of red on the map is surprising, at least to me – an indication that there were a lot of Trump/Ross voters. Who were these people? My guess is that they were people fed up with Washington and anyone associated with it, their incumbent senator included. Deborah Ross made a big deal out of her “outsider” status and managed to appeal to a number of Trump voters. Ross said on the campaign trail that she was finding lots of voters in rural areas who were supporting her and Trump. I never thought she was actually telling the truth.

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