Avenatti and Kavanaugh

We are in the midst of perhaps the most contentious Supreme Court nomination in memory. Other nominations have been controversial, such as Robert Bork in the eighties and Clarence Thomas in the nineties. Those confirmation hearings, like Kavanaugh's, were contentious...

Hurricanes and politics

Hurricanes in North Carolina can alter races. Some argue that Matthew hurt Democratic turnout in 2016 because of the damage that it caused in counties like Robeson. A storm the size of Florence could cause severe damage all the way into the Triangle. Fran hit in...

In search of a message

Republicans are searching for a national message heading into the midterms. They had hoped to be running on the success of their tax plan or the failure of Obamacare. Neither of those has worked out. The tax plan hasn’t helped the middle class and Obamacare is...

An unpredictable electorate

On Tuesday night, Ayanna Pressley, a Boston City Council member, upset a 10-term Member of Congress in the Massachusetts’ Democratic primary. A poll in August had Pressley trailing by 13 points. She won by 18. The week before, Andrew Gillum won the Florida Democratic...

The home stretch

With Labor Day past, the homel stretch of the 2018 election season has officially begun. Over the next two months, people who’ve paid little attention to the news or politics will start to tune in. Candidates will begin their paid communication programs in earnest....

NC-08: Reflections of 2006

(Full disclosure: I'm consulting on the McNeill campaign now and worked with Larry Kissell in 2006.) After Labor Day in 2006, North Carolina’s last Blue Moon election, a Democratic wave was forming across the nation. While the economy was relatively strong, the war in...

Trumpin’ North Carolina

Donald Trump is in North Carolina today helping two Republican candidates for Congress raise money. Both incumbent Rep. Ted Budd (NC-13) and Republican nominee Mark Harris (NC-09) trail their Democratic challengers in fundraising, according to the second quarter FEC...

Lessons from Florida?

My late business partner Ross Bates used to say, “Everything works until it doesn’t.” In Florida last night, we may have seen what’s not working anymore. Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum won the Democratic nomination for Florida governor by defeating former...

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