The numbers favor Cooper. But numbers do not speak for themselves. The polls measure the race. The model guesses how voters will turn out.
If turnout follows recent history and Cooper keeps his lead among unaffiliated voters, he wins without Democrats matching Republican turnout. More Democratic turnout means a bigger win.
That is the honest case. Cooper may be favored. But a forecast is still a forecast. Do not dress an assumption up as a fact. We need to encourage as many folks as possible get out to vote - Trump and band of merry men and women, are ruining this country.
“Everyone Votes, Nobody Quits
https://substack.com/@gary7seven/note/c-360934746?r=r437l&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action
NY Times Headline CPI rises 3.7 percent overall inflation 0.6 percent. The kiss of death for Republicans
The numbers favor Cooper. But numbers do not speak for themselves. The polls measure the race. The model guesses how voters will turn out.
If turnout follows recent history and Cooper keeps his lead among unaffiliated voters, he wins without Democrats matching Republican turnout. More Democratic turnout means a bigger win.
That is the honest case. Cooper may be favored. But a forecast is still a forecast. Do not dress an assumption up as a fact. We need to encourage as many folks as possible get out to vote - Trump and band of merry men and women, are ruining this country.
GET OUT AND VOTE !!!!💙💙💙💙