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R. Riddle's avatar

This sounds plausible for how the tariffs will play out over the next few months. But keep in mind, it will happen in tandem with other fallout from Trump admin policies. These are just the few I could think of off the top of my head.

*Foreign tourists and Canadian snowbirds won't be showing up and spending here in the US through late spring, summer, and early fall, resulting in layoffs and small business closures.

*For US and the fewer foreign tourists that do show up, short staffing will result in closures, reduced services, and other issues at National Parks.

*University and college fiscal years usually run July to July, so expect contracts to not be renewed, hiring freezes, and even layoffs from Trump's freezing or clawback of funding. Similarly, public schools will face a crisis with funding headed into the new school year in August.

*FEMA won't be functional to provide relief during the hurricane season, typically July-November. Similarly, through the summer and into fall, we may see more missed forecasts for tornadoes and other unexpected major weather events with cutbacks to the National Weather Service.

*Due to immigration crackdowns, farms will be short of workers during the peak harvest season in September through November.

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Jim Buie's avatar

Thomas, I think you've nailed it. Trump voters will only abandon him when they experience so much economic pain that they abandon hope. Think 1930. But I am not sure the mad king will stay the course into the ditch or the abyss. He might change course. Or, to get paranoid, there could be a palace coup by the financial interests who want to recoup their financial losses by installing Vance. Suddenly Trump becomes "sick." He better hold his food taster close. I can't believe I am embracing conspiratorial thinking.

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Marc Ohara's avatar

Well resoned and well said, Thomas. I'm proud to know you. I sincerely hope commenting on the impending catastrophies is not eroding your resolve to tell the truth, but rather empowering you to fight on! We - your readers and listeners - need your voice. Your reporting are the only commentaries I can listen to now. Please keep it up. We're behind you.

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William Barnett's avatar

Predicting the future is always risky but this seems plausible to me. Thanks.

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I Hate this Timeline's avatar

My maga family members told me they voted that way to support small business. Particularly deregulation. Haha.

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KL Pierce's avatar

Economic and other pain will probably be the only way to break the cult. Numbers don’t lie.

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Patricia Rosa's avatar

I’m right there with you Thomas and I sincerely the 90 million who didn’t vote in 24 abdicated their responsibility too and will show up in 26!

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Pam Fay's avatar

Anyone say exploding golf ball?

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Mark Mansour's avatar

It seems like the independents do realize it. The NYT poll shows 29% approval among independents. That persists, and you have a Democratic congress next year.

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