13 Comments
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Laura Reich's avatar

And that’s why Trump is doing everything he can to stop people from voting

SPW's avatar

From this page to god’s ears. I’ve already applied for my absentee overseas ballot and am waiting to hear from the BoE whether or not it’s been accepted. Holding my breath now.

James's avatar

How long I been saying don't sleep on the 9th? Richard Ojeda is the real deal, and if anybody can flip that district, it's him.

Ruth Bromer's avatar

Thomas, I've been hearing this from politicians in Raleigh. I think there even might be a chance for Paul Barringer, District 13. And it looks like the NC House might flip as well. Right now is the time to donate to the 4 statewide judicial races - Supreme Court Justice Anita Earls, and Court of Appeals Toby Hampson, John Arrowood, and Christine Walczyk. This is the time that they are figuring out and buying ad space across the state. They are working tirelessly campaigning while being full time judges.

David Heath's avatar

Colby Watson for 8th District. Defeat Mark Harris.

Cheryl Johnson's avatar

I met Colby recently at a Mecklenburg County Democratic candidate forum. Due to GOP gerrymandering, Meck County is split between Alma Adams (NC-12), Mark Harris (NC-8) and Tim Moore (NC-14). I am "represented" by Tim Moore.

Jeff's avatar

Regarding Hudson and the 9th. Many voters in the 2022 reshaped district hardly know Hudson since they only had him on the ballot in 2024. (And he has hardly been around since.) Others here will remember specifics and comment on the significance, but in 2022 the 9th hugged counties along the South Carolina border, and not including Cumberland/Ft Bragg. That changed for 2024. At its south, much of Fayetteville was added, as well as counties north to from Moore County (Pinehurst) almost to the Virginia border. Asheboro, Burlington, eastern suburbs of Greensboro Hight Point were new to the 9th/Hudson in 2024. Hudson won, against an unknown Dem, but it was close in the new areas between Chapel Hill and Greensboro. So it isn't like Hudson is an incumbent with multiple election cycles of support. Comment corrections if my memory deceives.

AweSeeker's avatar

I think what is missing from the 90’s and now are several factors: money, media sources with right wing, Russian, and Israeli influences, and a party planning to impact voter turnout and potentially change votes. I don’t think we will see a landslide.

James Shelton's avatar

With respect to Cook, I have to say DUH!!! They have been late to the party and playing catch up all year long. Your analysis of big wave elections is right on though Thomas, and we will see it, including the NC House which actually has the potential to flip in this environment. Enough strong candidates in winnable districts. Have a look Thomas.

Ruth Bromer's avatar

And the NC Senate should get close to flipping.

Rue Ryuzaki's avatar

As resident whose congressional representation has been flipped flopped between, the 1st, 3rd, 7th & back due to NCGOP General Assembly shenanigans & attempts to stop it. I hope Don & Raymond win & Greg & friends lose 👎🏽

Mark Rodin's avatar

Many voters are just now tuning in to the elections. This week a USPS whistleblower has alerted the New York Times to the postal service's plans to prevent mail in ballots from being delivered and today the Times published a story about the Department of Homeland Security searching voter registration rolls. Thomas I suggest you read these.

Cheryl Johnson's avatar

You might be interested in these fun facts about the popularity of voting methods - for the the 2024 election (statewide in NC):

* 5.2% voted by mail

* 73.9% voted early in person

* 20.6% voted on election day

* 0.3% voted provisionally

Source: data from the NCSBE website which I downloaded as .csv file and analyzed in Excel

Elderly and other mobility-challenged voters, as well as military and other overseas voters will bear the brunt of mail-in-voting shenanigans. But Trump's plan is a very blunt instrument, so I don't think it will have quite the impact you anticipate.

FYI, if you know of any elderly and or mobility challenged voters, please remind them that curbside voting is available at all early voting sites and at all polling places on election day:

https://www.ncsbe.gov/voting/help-voters-disabilities/accessible-voting-sites/curbside-voting.

If readers have the capacity, I highly recommend volunteering to drive people to the polls. Check with your county Democratic party (https://www.ncdp.org/) or volunteer with RideShare2Vote (https://rideshare2vote.com/sign-up-to-train/). Here is a link to their NC webpage to donate or schedule a ride to the polls: https://rideshare2vote.com/north-carolina/.