I think Roy Cooper is wonderful. He was so good to listen to during his updates during covid, and respectful of his state HHS leader (I don't remember her title, just that she was good, too, and Cooper treated her respectfully, in huge contrast to Trump.) I hope he wins and continues his political career as our senator.
Have always been a Cooper fan and supporter. He will be getting my vote this year. I just hope the rest of the state that had the good sense to elect Roy twice as Governor will do the same to send him to the Senate. He’s a good man.
Gee Thom. As one who taught survey research methodology, and consulted to many clients demanding high standards (e.g. Consumer Reports), the sentences "it is just a hazard of polling", "outliers (polls) always exist", is dismissive of polls. Polls differ in quality--- of sample, question design, execution, analysis and presentation. Done seriously, by professionals, "outliers" are rare. Frustratingly (for readers and pros) the polls I've seen are rarely accompanied with descriptions of methodology that one would need to assess quality (as would be recommended by the American Association for Public Opinion Research, for example). And there seems to be no editorial control to help distinguish the difference between more and less credible, in contrast to the New York Times, for example, which offers this guidance to its editors: "All political campaigns..... bring a new spate of badly done polls. Many can and should be ignored." https://static01.nyt.com/packages/pdf/politics/pollingstandards.pdf:
Outliers are a fact of life in polling. I’ve seen the Washington Post, New York Times, and numerous political polls from reputable pollsters. Here’s the New York Times saying they are “inevitable.” Most polls do give your the methodology. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/26/upshot/biden-trump-poll-outlier.html
Everything is currently aligning in Cooper’s favor (and Democrats more broadly). And he started with a significant advantage. He’s a native son who’s had the machinery in place to run a statewide campaign for the entirety of this century (so far). If there’s anybody in the state — maybe in the entire country — better positioned for a win, I can’t think who it would be. I doubt that he wins by 18 points, because only he’s not running against Mark Robinson.
Thank you for being so frank about the polls.
I think Roy Cooper is wonderful. He was so good to listen to during his updates during covid, and respectful of his state HHS leader (I don't remember her title, just that she was good, too, and Cooper treated her respectfully, in huge contrast to Trump.) I hope he wins and continues his political career as our senator.
Watley represents 47, not the people of North Carolina
Whatley.
Have always been a Cooper fan and supporter. He will be getting my vote this year. I just hope the rest of the state that had the good sense to elect Roy twice as Governor will do the same to send him to the Senate. He’s a good man.
Gee Thom. As one who taught survey research methodology, and consulted to many clients demanding high standards (e.g. Consumer Reports), the sentences "it is just a hazard of polling", "outliers (polls) always exist", is dismissive of polls. Polls differ in quality--- of sample, question design, execution, analysis and presentation. Done seriously, by professionals, "outliers" are rare. Frustratingly (for readers and pros) the polls I've seen are rarely accompanied with descriptions of methodology that one would need to assess quality (as would be recommended by the American Association for Public Opinion Research, for example). And there seems to be no editorial control to help distinguish the difference between more and less credible, in contrast to the New York Times, for example, which offers this guidance to its editors: "All political campaigns..... bring a new spate of badly done polls. Many can and should be ignored." https://static01.nyt.com/packages/pdf/politics/pollingstandards.pdf:
Outliers are a fact of life in polling. I’ve seen the Washington Post, New York Times, and numerous political polls from reputable pollsters. Here’s the New York Times saying they are “inevitable.” Most polls do give your the methodology. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/26/upshot/biden-trump-poll-outlier.html
Everything is currently aligning in Cooper’s favor (and Democrats more broadly). And he started with a significant advantage. He’s a native son who’s had the machinery in place to run a statewide campaign for the entirety of this century (so far). If there’s anybody in the state — maybe in the entire country — better positioned for a win, I can’t think who it would be. I doubt that he wins by 18 points, because only he’s not running against Mark Robinson.
As you know Thomas lots of time between now and November, but higher gas prices and more expensive goods don’t bode well for an elephant charge
An encouraging report from a critical race. Thanks for sharing. I hope and trust that the Cooper campaign will take nothing for granted.