My gut is that Harris holds onto the blue wall but North Carolina follows it's typical path. I just don't think the urban/suburban areas are large and blue enough to overcome the exurban/rural vote quite yet. While turnout helped Obama back in '08 many of the red counties weren't as deep red back then which helped tip the scale. In fact he came close to winning a few of them that year. I'd love to be wrong though.
My gut is that Harris holds onto the blue wall but North Carolina follows it's typical path. I just don't think the urban/suburban areas are large and blue enough to overcome the exurban/rural vote quite yet. While turnout helped Obama back in '08 many of the red counties weren't as deep red back then which helped tip the scale. In fact he came close to winning a few of them that year. I'd love to be wrong though.