davie

Davie County is a small, rural county located in the North Carolina Piedmont. The county seat is Mocksville. The nearest major city is Winston-Salem, located northeast of the county.

Like many counties in this region, Davie is strongly Republican. With a strong campaign Republicans normally top 70% of the vote here. The Republicanism of Davie County is not a new development; it harkens back to the post-Civil War Reconstruction era. The last time Davie opted for a Democratic candidate for president was in 1940, during FDR’s bid for a third term. In 2012, Mitt Romney won every precinct in the state, including Mocksville, which is occasionally competitive for Democrats.

Presidential PVIs
1988: R+36 (Solid Republican)
1992: R+31 (Solid Republican)
1996: R+45 (Solid Republican)
2000: R+47 (Solid Republican)
2004: R+46 (Solid Republican)
2008: R+46 (Solid Republican)
2012: R+47 (Solid Republican)

Forecast: Davie has always been solidly Republican, and this is expected to remain the case for a long time to come. The 2000s decade brought with it a strong growth rate of 18.39% in the county, if this growth continues then Davie’s political tendencies will likely become more moderate. Many counties in this region of North Carolina exhibited a strong reaction to the candidacy of Barack Obama. Interestingly, this was not evident in Davie County. This could be seen as a sign of a) polarization, or inelasticity or b) the political leanings of the county’s newcomers. The latter is probably irrelevant, as the current census estimates portray a vastly reduced growth rate within the county. And barring high growth or sweeping demographic change, Davie will remain solidly Republican for a long time to come.

2012 presidential election results in Davie County (blue = Obama; red = Romney)

2012 presidential election results in Davie County (blue = Obama; red = Romney)

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