Prediction: Richard Burr to Retire in 2016

by | Aug 24, 2013 | Carolina Strategic Analysis, Features | 3 comments


Senator Richard Burr is probably the most cautious politician you’ll ever meet. Whenever he speaks to the press, he speaks slowly and chooses his words very carefully, as if a campaign tracker is behind him ready to pounce on a career-ending gaffe. Thus, with only one notable exception, Burr rarely says anything that can hurt him politically.

So it was somewhat out-of-character for Burr to characterize defunding Obamacare as “the dumbest idea ever”. Tea Partiers were livid. Now, an organization called the Senate Conservatives Fund is going after Burr on the radio, saying that funding Obamacare is what’s really dumb. Burr’s office is no doubt getting a lot of angry phone calls and e-mails from outraged conservatives, but it’s unlikely that this will sway the senior senator. After you call something the “dumbest idea ever” it’s a little tough to turn around and vote for it.

I imagine that this is Burr’s last term in office, and not because of the threat of a challenge from the right. The U.S. Senate is not a fun place to be right now, and it could be that Burr is sick of Washington. One of Burr’s closest friends in the Senate, Saxby Chambliss, has already announced that he’s retiring. Gone are the days when being a U.S. Senator meant prestige. Nowadays, lobbyists are probably more respected. The U.S. Senate used to be called the world’s greatest deliberative body, but now it’s probably one of the worst. There’s partisan gridlock, anger, and mistrust. Voters are angry. For mainstream Republicans, it’s a particularly grueling experience. Simply put, serving in Congress is no longer a pleasant experience, and recent events have probably made Burr’s tenure even more unhappy.

For now, it looks like Burr is keeping his options open. And if Republicans take control of the Senate in 2014, then Burr will have more of a reason to stay. But to win a third term, Burr might have to fend off a Republican primary challenge – no sure thing. Then he’ll probably face his toughest election yet, a presidential electorate in a blue-trending state. It’s clear that winning in 2016 will be no easy task. Is Burr really willing to go through all that just for six more years in a fractured Congress? I don’t think so. I think by the end of his current term, he’ll be more than happy to leave electoral politics. Freed of the burden of an upcoming campaign, Burr can vote his conscience and forge his own path in Washington. He can leave the partisan posturing to his Republican successor. (George Holding?)


  1. Anne Carty

    Please relate one thing that Burr has done in all the years he has been in the senate. I can’t think of anything. We pay these people big bucks while in office and for what?

  2. We Shall See

    He and Hagan are both gone. NC trending blue? Laughable and delusional. You just LOST in NC big time and that was after holding the DNC convention in Charlotte! A huge gamble and fail – to try to “take the south”. 2008 was a fluke and Republicans have strengthened their position in NC.

    • Mike

      I must respectfully disagree “We Shall See”, while Obama lost in NC it was hardly by a landslide, Romney won 50.4 vs Obama 48.6. Obama lost by only 92,004 votes out of a total of 4,505,372. The 2012 results placed NC as the 2nd closest race (behind Florida) in the nation.

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